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Emiliya Vacheva
Bulgarian Land and its Natural Resources – Late 12th Century – 14th Century
Summary:
The author of this article has made an attempt to reveal how the Bulgarian state and its natural resources have been described in West European sources of information during the period from the late 12th century to the 14th century. In order to achieve the aim of the article the West European sources of information published in Bulgaria have been analyzed and systematized, incl. chronicles, stories, travelogues, cosmographic maps, reports, maps, portolans, etc. They reveal the impressions and knowledge of western annalists and chroniclers on the borders of the Bulgarian state and its natural resources. They also show that Bulgarians and their land occupy a worthy place in the works of western authors.
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Plamen Pytev, Elena Marinova
The Link Between Credit Default Swaps and Stock Markets in Central and Eastern Europe
Summary:
Our study aims at testing whether there is long-run relationship between the CDS and stock markets in seven countries of Eastern Europe. First, we define specifics of the seven CEE stock markets and CDS spreads. We have found that they show different performance characteristics – stock markets present very different performance while the volatility has been very close. Next, we try to estimate the presence of co-integration among the stock markets on the one side and CDS spread on the other. The results show that both stock market indices and CDS spread are not stationary at levels but are stationary at first difference and they are first-order integrated I(1) for all countries. Next, we apply Granger causality test for short-run relationship and our results show for Russia and Poland that the index return is Granger causing the change in CDS spread, the variance in the CDS explained by the index is 40% and 31% respectively. In the case of Hungary, Bulgaria and Romania, where the change in the CDS spread is Granger Causing change in stock market index, the variance in the index explained by the CDS spread is 36%, 11% and 27% respectively.
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Dragan Georgiev
Establishing a System of Income Multiplier Profiles in the Lodging Industry
Summary:
The determination of income multiplier profile (IMP) of an enterprise, activity or department in the budgeting process is a popular method in the field of hospitality to study the influence of different value measurable key factors on the financial result. Its traditional use is associated with determining the business orientation, analyzing the profitability of products and services in order to optimize the financial result, and implementation of accounting and control strategies.
This paper presents a modified approach for establishing a system of standardized profiles, based on conception of responsibility centers under USALI, as key factors are derived from the basic algebraic relationship "cost-volume-profit".
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Plamen Petkov
Econometric Estimation of Bulgarian Investment Function
Summary:
An investment function in economic terms is a concept or strategy that explains the relationships between shifts in the national income and changes in the investment patterns in the national economy. In this publication the methodology of vector error correction model (VECM) is applied to investigate long-run and short-run relationships between investments and some of their key determinants - real gross domestic product, inflation, discount interest rate and a composite index of financial development. Econometric analysis is based on annual data, which covered the period from 1991 to 2011. It is estimated there are three investment functions – of the total investment, private investment and foreign direct investment. Åach function is analyzed with and without structural shocks occurring in the study period.
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Danko Tarabar, Joshua Hall
After War: the Political Economy of Exporting Democracy. By Christopher J. Coyne. Stanford, CA: Stanford University Press, 2008
Summary:
Can liberal democracy be exported at gunpoint? Are military occupation and reconstruction effective methods for establishing permanent liberal democracies? While many international relations scholars have utilized the tools of economics (such as game theory) to help answer these questions, few economists have systematically attempted to provide an answer this question using both economic theory and history. Christopher Coyne’s After War fills in this gap and provides valuable insight into the problems the United States faces when trying to establish law and order by force in weak and failed states.
