Aleksandar Lichev
The Long-Term Interest Rates for Convergence Purposes as Crises Indicator for the Eurozone
Summary:
The main aim of the survey is to develop critical point of view over the Maastricht convergence criteria for the Euro zone countries and to provide arguments in favor of the acceptance of the long-term interest rate for convergence purposes as a leading, market based indicator of the economic crises. The main subject of the research is the Euro zone, and the main topic respectively – long-term interest rate for convergence purposes within the Euro zone as a convergence criteria with major analytical importance for the process of building reliable prognoses and crises indicators. The structure of the article is divided in two main bodies. Firstly, it is introduce wide critical overview of leading scientific surveys in the area of Maastricht convergence criteria within the crises period (2008–2012) and secondly, applying of econometric analyses of the long-term interest rate for convergence purposes within Eurozone-12 for the purposes of discovering of crises
Indicators. As a result of the research it is proved that for the PIIGS group are available strong, market based evidences for forthcoming economic disturbances provided as a result of regression analyses of long-term interest rate of 10-yers debt securities for convergence purposes.
