Blagovesta Nikolova
Trends in Contemporary Economic Forecasting
Summary:
This text attempts to outline some changes in the realm of economic forecasting within the context of a broader process of transformation in contemporary forecasting during the last few decades. The paper focuses on the following issues: the rise of technological forecasting; the advantages of long-term planning; the emergence of ‘alternative futures’ and global modeling; the normative considerations in economic forecasting; and some specific problems which need to be taken into consideration when making economic forecasts.
